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矿供需略有改善，国产TC企稳；据百川盈孚调研，原生开工变动有限，不过现货表现趋紧。再生方面，废电瓶价格企稳，回收商因成本较高低价出货意愿不强，市场现货流通有限；当前铅价炼厂利润仍然不佳，冶炼厂维持低位开工。消费侧，下游蓄电池企业订单表现难有好转，消费维持低迷状态。总体而言，供需维持两弱，宏观引导下预计铅价低位震荡为主。操作上，沪铅区间操作，主力合约运行区间16000-17000元/吨附近。　　风险

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